When the Fed announced it was cutting rates in April, most people thought it would help steady the markets. Rate cuts usually mean the economy needs support, but investors took it as a bad sign. Instead of calming things down, it triggered a wave of uncertainty. Stocks started sliding, volatility came roaring back, and Bitcoin began to climb. It caught a lot of people off guard, but not Carl Moon Runefelt. He saw this coming months ago.

“Debts are rising alongside greed and euphoria in the stock market. The signs of a financial crisis are growing. I believe we will see a big financial meltdown in the coming months. Bitcoin is the Noah’s Ark in the economic flood,” Carl Moon Runefelt warned in a January tweet via his X account @TheMoonCarl. Since the Fed’s unexpected policy shift, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have both posted sharp losses. Bond yields are falling fast. Gold and Bitcoin are gaining traction as investors run for cover. The shock isn’t about rising rates. It’s about what falling ones might really mean.

“Everyone thinks rate cuts are bullish. But cuts after a hiking cycle have a track record. And that record is ugly,” said Carl Moon Runefelt, host of The Moon Show. “This is how every major crash of the last 30 years started. Rate cuts. Then recession.” Wall Street was banking on a soft landing. Instead, the market is pricing in something worse. Soft job numbers and fading consumer strength are starting to confirm fears. Runefelt called it early. On January 18, he posted a breakdown of every rate-cut cycle since the 1980s. Each one, he pointed out, was followed by a major correction or crisis.

This wasn’t just a random take. Runefelt based it on real data and past trends. While most analysts are reacting to whatever headline’s trending that day, he’s been looking at deeper aspects of credit markets, liquidity, and how people are actually behaving with their money. Carl combines traditional economic patterns with a crypto mindset, which is rare. And he’s not just saying the market’s shaky. He’s pointing out real structural issues. Things like commercial real estate, smaller banks, and risky financial products. In his view, this is just the start.

Carl Moon Runefelt’s credibility has grown fast. His financial takes, once shrugged off as crypto Twitter noise, are now getting attention from fund managers and institutional analysts. Some are citing his breakdowns in internal memos. Others are tuning in to his show for early signals. What comes next? Carl expects more rate cuts, more volatility, and a renewed push for quantitative easing. He believes that will send Bitcoin to $300,000 by the end of 2025. And longer term, he sees Bitcoin hitting “millions” as fiat systems stretch beyond repair.

“I’m not here to scare anyone,” Runefelt said. “I’m here to help people prepare.”

Follow Carl Moon on X (formerly Twitter):

X: https://x.com/themooncarl