Despite a turbulent week in the stock market triggered by President Trump's escalating tariff policies and retaliatory actions from global trading partners, mortgage rates have remained relatively stable. As market fluctuations rocked investor sentiment, mortgage rates barely budged, providing a silver lining for homebuyers.
According to the latest data from Freddie Mac, the average 30-year mortgage rate was recorded at 6.65% through Wednesday, only slightly higher than the previous week’s 6.63%. Meanwhile, the 15-year mortgage rate increased marginally by one basis point, climbing to 5.80% from 5.79%. Although mortgage rates ended a seven-week streak of declining, they remain near a three-month low, offering a potential boost to the housing market.
"Even with fluctuations in financial markets, mortgage rates remain relatively low compared to the past few months, sparking interest from potential homebuyers," said Sam Khater, Chief Economist at Freddie Mac. The steady rates are encouraging more individuals to enter the market, despite the uncertainty caused by the broader economic landscape.
As the spring homebuying season gains momentum, mortgage demand is on the rise. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), mortgage applications for home purchases surged by 7% last week, signaling a strong demand for housing. Additionally, refinancing applications spiked by 16%, reflecting renewed interest as lower rates continue to attract borrowers.
The MBA’s forecast indicates that mortgage demand is likely to stay stable throughout the spring, especially if rates continue to hold steady or decrease further. The current favorable rates provide a strong incentive for buyers, with some experts suggesting that rate drops could potentially unlock opportunities for sellers as well.
"Every time rates dip even slightly, we not only see more buyers entering the market but also sellers who have been waiting for the right moment to list their homes," noted Leo Pareja, CEO of eXp Realty.
This week, the stock market experienced significant volatility, with the S&P 500 (^GSPC) suffering a sharp 2.7% sell-off. The downward movement was primarily triggered by concerns surrounding President Trump’s tariff policies, particularly the implementation of new levies on steel and aluminum imports. Investors, anxious about the potential global economic repercussions, flocked to safer investments, driving down Treasury yields.
However, after the President adjusted his stance on tariffs—deciding to impose a 25% tariff rather than the initially threatened 50%—markets responded positively. Additionally, February's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data revealed easing inflation, further stabilizing market sentiment and contributing to the rebound in Treasury yields.
Mortgage rates are closely tied to the yields on 10-year Treasury bonds, which experienced significant fluctuations this week. As investors sought safety in U.S. government bonds, Treasury yields dropped sharply on Monday, contributing to a dip in mortgage rates. However, as the market adjusted to the latest tariff news and inflation data, Treasury yields rebounded, potentially influencing mortgage rates in the coming weeks.
For homebuyers, this dynamic means that mortgage rates will continue to be influenced by broader financial and geopolitical developments. Although rates remain steady for now, changes in global trade policies, economic data, and market sentiment could lead to shifts in the mortgage landscape.
While the stock market faced considerable turbulence this week, mortgage rates held steady, offering potential homebuyers a window of opportunity. As the spring homebuying season progresses, demand for mortgages is increasing, driven by relatively low rates and favorable conditions for refinancing.
Whether you are a first-time homebuyer, refinancing, or simply keeping an eye on market trends, it’s clear that the mortgage market remains a crucial component of the overall housing landscape. As we move further into 2024, it will be essential to keep track of market movements and economic developments that could impact your homeownership plans.