Source: Forbes
Norway's sovereign wealth fund — the largest in the world — suffered a staggering first-quarter loss of 415 billion kroner ($40 billion), driven largely by a brutal downturn in the tech sector. The loss was reported Thursday by Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), the state-owned entity that manages the fund, which now sits at 18.53 trillion kroner ($1.7 trillion) in total assets.
NBIM's CEO Nicolai Tangen acknowledged the rough start to 2025, attributing the negative performance primarily to its heavy exposure in tech equities. "The quarter has been impacted by significant market fluctuations. Our equity investments had a negative return, largely driven by the tech sector," Tangen said.
About 70% of the fund's capital is allocated to global equities, making it vulnerable to major stock swings. In Q1, this portion posted a negative return of 1.6%, equivalent to hundreds of billions in paper losses.
The market value of the fund shrank by 1.215 trillion kroner ($116 billion), due in part to volatile currency moves. The Norwegian krone strengthened against major currencies — especially the U.S. dollar — slashing another 879 billion kroner from the fund's total value through foreign exchange impacts.
While equities floundered, other asset classes performed slightly better:
Despite this cushioning, the sheer size of the fund's equity exposure — especially to U.S. tech stocks — overshadowed these gains.
NBIM's portfolio includes stakes in more than 8,600 companies across 63 countries, including heavyweights like Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Tesla. These tech titans were hit particularly hard in March when a three-week sell-off wiped out an estimated $2.7 trillion in combined market value.
The decline came amid growing investor anxiety over U.S. President Donald Trump’s renewed tariff threats and geopolitical uncertainty, combined with emerging competition in the AI space.
In January, Chinese startup DeepSeek shook up the market by launching a high-performing AI model reportedly built at a fraction of the cost of ChatGPT. This raised concerns about AI-sector profitability and triggered a drop in shares of leading AI firms like Nvidia — a key NBIM holding.
The Q1 loss stands in stark contrast to NBIM’s record-breaking $222 billion profit in 2024, fueled by an AI-led stock rally that had tech valuations soaring. That surge turned 2024 into one of the most profitable years in the fund’s history.
But the tide has turned quickly. With volatility returning, NBIM’s latest results are a stark reminder of how exposed even the world’s largest funds are to the whims of global markets.
Despite this quarter’s setback, NBIM remains committed to long-term, diversified investments. The fund was originally created in the 1990s to invest Norway's oil and gas revenues, safeguarding national wealth for future generations.
With over $1.7 trillion in global assets, NBIM still holds a formidable position in international finance — but the road ahead could remain turbulent, especially if tech stocks remain volatile and currency headwinds persist.