Turkey is experiencing one of its most turbulent political and financial periods in recent history, as mass protests erupt across the nation following the arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu. Since demonstrations began on March 19, more than 1,100 people have been detained, according to Turkish authorities.
The arrest of Imamoglu, widely seen as the strongest political challenger to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has ignited a wave of public outrage and deepened concerns over the country’s already fragile economy. Imamoglu was detained on corruption charges just days before he was expected to be nominated as a presidential candidate for the opposition. His supporters, along with international observers, have condemned the arrest as politically motivated.
Meanwhile, Erdogan’s government has moved swiftly to suppress dissent, imposing travel restrictions on Istanbul, shutting down bridges, and limiting internet access in an effort to curb the protests. State-controlled media have largely ignored the demonstrations, further fueling frustration among the public.
As political tensions escalate, the Turkish economy is under severe pressure. Last week, the Turkish lira plunged to a historic low of 40 per U.S. dollar, triggering a wave of emergency measures from the central bank.
According to the Financial Times, Turkish officials spent $12 billion in foreign reserves within a single week in a desperate attempt to stabilize the currency. The government also banned short selling and relaxed stock buyback rules in an effort to prevent further market turmoil.
Despite these interventions, investor confidence remains low, and analysts warn that Turkey may be forced to burn through even more reserves in the coming weeks.
Wolfango Piccoli, co-president of advisory firm Teneo, highlighted the severity of the crisis in a note published on March 25:
“The protests mark the most significant and widespread public reaction in over a decade, making the trajectory of events difficult to predict. What is evident, even at this early stage, is that political uncertainty is far from over. Once again, President Erdogan’s political agenda has inflicted serious damage on Turkey’s economic outlook.”
The growing political unrest has led some experts to suggest that Turkey is at a critical crossroads. Arda Tunca, an independent economist based in Istanbul, told CNBC:
“Turkey is on the verge of becoming a dictatorship. People’s reaction to what has been going on since March 18 will determine the fate of the country’s future. No leader, democratic or not, can silence the will of the people forever.”
Erdogan, however, remains defiant. Over the weekend, he dismissed the protests as “vandalism” and “street terror”, vowing that his government would not “surrender” to public pressure.
With inflation hovering above 67%, a deepening currency crisis, and increasing authoritarian measures, Turkey’s economic and political trajectory remains uncertain. The upcoming local elections, scheduled for later this year, could serve as a litmus test for Erdogan’s grip on power.
As protests continue to grow and the government tightens its control, international pressure is also mounting. The European Union and the United States have both expressed concerns over Erdogan’s crackdown, with calls for greater transparency and fair political competition.
The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether Turkey slides further into economic and political instability or finds a path toward recovery and reform. For now, the nation remains on edge, bracing for what could be one of its most defining moments in modern history.